| 내용 |
Introduction to forecasting : applications, methods, books, journals, and software -- Six considerations basic to successful forecasting -- Statistical graphics for forecasting -- Modeling and forecasting trend -- Modeling and forecasting seasonality -- Characterizing cycles -- Modeling cycles : MA, AR, and ARMA models -- Forecasting cycles -- Putting it all together : a forecasting model with trend, seasonal, and cyclical components -- Forecasting with regression models -- Evaluating and combining forecasts -- Unit roots, stochastic trends, ARIMA forecasting models, and smoothing -- Volatility measurement, modeling, and forecasting.
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