| 청구기호 |
HD30.27 |
| 형태사항 |
1 online resource
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| 언어 |
English |
| 서지주기 |
Includes bibliographical references and index.
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| 내용 |
Foreword ; Preface ; Chapter 1 Fundamental Considerations in Business Forecasting ; 1.1 Getting Real About Uncertainty (Goodwin -- Foresight) ; 1.2 What Demand Planners Can Learn from the Stock Market (ReCorr -- JBF) ; 1.3 Toward a More Precise Definition of Forecastability (Boylan -- Foresight) ; 1.4 Forecastability: A New Method (Schubert -- Foresight) ; 1.5 Forecast Errors and Their Avoidability (Morlidge -- Foresight) ; 1.6 The Perils of Benchmarking (Gilliland -- APICS eNews) ; 1.7 Can We Obtain Valid Benchmarks from Published Surveys of Forecast Accuracy? (Kolassa -- Foresight) ; 1.8 Defining 'Demand' for Demand Forecasting (Gilliland -- Foresight) ; 1.9 Using Forecasting to Steer the Business: Six Principles (Morlidge -- Foresight) ; 1.10 The Beauty of Forecasting (Orrell -- Foresight) ; Chapter 2 Methods of Statistical Forecasting ; 2.1 Confessions of a Pragmatic Forecaster (Chatfield -- Foresight) ; 2.2 New Evidence on the Value of Combining Forecasts (Goodwin -- Foresight) ; 2.3 How to Forecast Data Containing Outliers (Stellwagen -- Trends Newsletter) ; 2.4 Selecting Your Statistical Forecasting Level (Stellwagen -- ForecastPro blog) ; 2.5 When is a Flat-line Forecast Appropriate (Stellwagen -- ForecastPro blog) ; 2.6 Forecasting by Time Compression (Sglavo -- SAS whitepaper) ; 2.7 Data Mining for Forecasting: An Introduction (Wells & Rey -- new content -- adapt from book) ; 2.8 Process and Methods for Data Mining for Forecasting (Wells & Rey -- new content -- adapt from book) ; 2.9 Worst-Case Scenarios in Forecasting: How Bad Can Things Get (Batchelor -- Foresight) ; 2.10 Good Patterns, Bad Patterns (Batchelor -- Foresight) ; Chapter 3 Forecasting Performance Evaluation & and Reporting ; 3.1 Dos and Don'ts of Forecast Accuracy Measurement: A Tutorial (Tashman -- Foresight) ; 3.2 How to Track Forecast Accuracy to Guide Forecast Process Improvement (Hoover -- Foresight) ; 3.3 A "Softer" Approach to the Measurement of Forecast Accuracy (Boylan -- Foresight) ; 3.4 Measuring Forecast Accuracy (Hyndman -- new content) ; 3.5 Should We Define Forecast Error as e = F A or e = A F? (Green & Tashman -- Foresight) ; 3.6 Percentage Error: What Denominator? (Green & Tashman -- Foresight) ; 3.7 Percentage Errors Can Ruin Your Day (Kolassa & Martin -- Foresight) ; 3.8 Another Look at Forecast-Accuracy Metrics for Intermittent Demand (Hyndman -- Foresight) ; 3.9 Advantages of the MAD/Mean Ratio Over the MAPE (Kolassa & Schutz -- Foresight) ; 3.10 Use Scaled Errors Instead of Percentage Errors in Forecast Evaluations (Valentin -- Foresight) ; 3.11 An Expanded Prediction-Realization Diagram for Assessing Forecast Errors (Pearson -- Foresight) ; 3.12 Forecast Error Measures: Critical Review and Practical Recommendations (Davydenko & Fildes -- adapt from IJF) ; 3.13 Measuring the Quality of Intermittent Demand Forecasts: It's Worse than We've Thought! (Steve Morlidge -- Foresight) ; 3.14 Managing Forecasts by Exception (Stellwagen -- ForecastPro blog) ; 3.15 Using Process Behaviour Charts to Improve Forecasting and Decision-Making (Joseph & Finney -- Foresight) ; 3.16 Can Your Forecast Beat the Naïve Forecast (Snapp -- SCMFocus blog) ; Chapter 4 Process and Politics of Business Forecasting ; 4.1 FVA: A Reality Check on Forecasting Practices (Gilliland -- Foresight) ; 4.2 Where Should the Forecasting Function Reside (Lapide -JBF)[AU: Spell out JBF] ; 4.3 Setting Performance Objectives (Gilliland -- BFD blog)[AU: spell out BFD.] ; 4.4 Using Relative Error Metrics to Improve Forecast Quality in the Supply Chain (Morlidge -- Foresight) ; 4.5 Why Should I Trust Your Forecasts (Gonul, Onkal & Goodwin -- Foresight) ; 4.6 High on Complexity, Low on Evidence: Are Advanced Forecasting Methods Always as Good as They Seem? (Goodwin -- Foresight) ; 4.7 Should the Forecasting Process Eliminate Face-to-Face Meetings? (Armstrong -- Foresight) ; 4.8 The Impact of Sales Forecast Game Playing on Supply Chains (Mello -- Foresight) ; 4.9 Role of the Sales Force in Forecasting (Gilliland -- Foresight) ; 4.10 Good and Bad Judgment in Forecasting (Fildes & Goodwin -- Foresight) ; 4.11 Worst practices in new product forecasting (Gilliland -- JBF) ; 4.12 Sales & Operations Planning in the Retail Industry (Harwell -- JBF) ; 4.13 Sales & Operations Planning: Where Is It Going? (Wallace -- JBF) ; Index
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| 주제 |
Business forecasting.
BUSINESS & ECONOMICS --Forecasting. --bisacsh
Business forecasting. --fast --(OCoLC)fst00842699
Prognoseverfahren --gnd
Strategische Planung --gnd
Unternehmensentwicklung --gnd
Zeitreihenanalyse --gnd
Prognoseverfahren --(DE-601)091384680 --(DE-STW)15072-0 --stw
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| 보유판 및 특별호 저록 |
Print version: Business forecasting. Hoboken : Wiley, 2015 9781119224563 , 2015039621
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| LCCN |
2015046278
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| ISBN |
9781119228295q(pdf)
1119228298q(pdf)
9781119228271q(epub)
1119228271q(epub)
9781119244592
1119244595
111922456X
9781119224563
|
