서지주요정보
3점추정치를 이용한 비용-편익의 추정방법과 확률적 비용-편익분석모형에 관한 연구 = A study on the cost-benefit estimate method using 3-point estimates and the probabilistic cost-benefit analysis models
서명 / 저자 3점추정치를 이용한 비용-편익의 추정방법과 확률적 비용-편익분석모형에 관한 연구 = A study on the cost-benefit estimate method using 3-point estimates and the probabilistic cost-benefit analysis models / 박우홍.
저자명 박우홍 ; Park, Woo-Hong
발행사항 [서울 : 한국과학기술원, 1989].
Online Access 제한공개(로그인 후 원문보기 가능)원문

소장정보

등록번호

4105911

소장위치/청구기호

학술문화관(문화관) 보존서고

MIE 8912

SMS전송

도서상태

이용가능

대출가능

반납예정일

초록정보

Government expenditures have been largely expanding at a rapid rate in the world, and there is no indication this trend will be curtailed. The very nature of public work developed by these expenditures lends difficulty and uncertainty to the estimates of costs and benefits that make up the benefit-cost ratio used for public work justification. This study presents idea, technique, and procedures for estimating benefits and costs by 3-point estimates and provides probabilistic analysis of benefit-cost analysis based upon the Beta-distribution under uncertainty. The estimates of benefits and costs are easily estimated by 3-point estimates based upon subjective probability of experts. Therefore, this method removes difficulties and troublesomeness in using the current conventions in order to estimate benefit and cost. Also, because the probabilistic models take account of the uncertainties in the future, this model may provide more realistic analysis than existing technique of public work justification. Thus the results provide the decision-maker with more realistic and reasonable information.

서지기타정보

서지기타정보
청구기호 {MIE 8912
형태사항 [v], 77, [2] p. : 삽도 ; 26 cm
언어 한국어
일반주기 부록 수록
저자명의 영문표기 : Woo-Hong Park
지도교수의 한글표기 : 김지수
지도교수의 영문표기 : Ji-Soo Kim
학위논문 학위논문(석사) - 한국과학기술원 : 산업공학과,
서지주기 참고문헌 : p. 74-77
주제 Estimates.
Beta functions.
비용 효과 분석. --과학기술용어시소러스
추정 (예측) --과학기술용어시소러스
베타 함수. --과학기술용어시소러스
Cost effectiveness.
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