서지주요정보
Box-jenkins 법에 의한 화장품의 단기수요 예측 = A short term demand forecasting of cosmetic products by box-jenkins methodology
서명 / 저자 Box-jenkins 법에 의한 화장품의 단기수요 예측 = A short term demand forecasting of cosmetic products by box-jenkins methodology / 양삼주.
저자명 양삼주 ; Yang, Sam-Ju
발행사항 [서울 : 한국과학기술원, 1986].
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소장정보

등록번호

4104047

소장위치/청구기호

학술문화관(문화관) 보존서고

MIE 8626

SMS전송

도서상태

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초록정보

This study deals with a short-term forecasting of the sales quantity of two cosmetic products-emollient creams and lotions-produced by a company in Korea. The annual sales volume of the two products(among fifteen products handled by the company) amounts to about 30 percent of the total sales volume, and each sales has a seasonal trend. ARIMA models are developed through three-stage iterative procedures, I.E., identification, estimation and diagnostic checking. In specific, autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation functions of each time series are used to specify various alternatives, to which the nonlinear least squares method is applied to estimate parameters. Then, residual autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation functions are used for diagnostic checking on each alternative model for its validity. If one of the alternatives is specified as an adequate one from the diagnostic checking procedure, then it is chosen as the short-term forecasting model. Through the above procedures forcasting models for the two products are selected. All the required computations are performed with a computer package for Box-Jenkins Methodology available in Korean Advance Institute of Science \& Technology.

서지기타정보

서지기타정보
청구기호 {MIE 8626
형태사항 [iii], 147 p. : 삽도 ; 26 cm
언어 한국어
일반주기 부록 수록
저자명의 영문표기 : Sam-Ju Yang
지도교수의 한글표기 : 염봉진
공동교수의 한글표기 : 성창섭
지도교수의 영문표기 : Bong-Jin Yum
공동교수의 영문표기 : Chang-Sup Sung
학위논문 학위논문(석사) - 한국과학기술원 : 산업공학과,
서지주기 참고문헌 : p. 128-131
주제 Autocorrelation (Statistics)
Sales forecasting.
수요. --과학기술용어시소러스
단기 예측. --과학기술용어시소러스
자기 상관. --과학기술용어시소러스
Demand (Economic theory)
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