This thesis is adressed to exploration of technological forecasting methodologies and their application on establishment of military R & D programs.
The decision-making problem of how to utilize given resources most effectively is very important in planning military R & D programs.
Any decision-making requires reference materials. Such materials in the area of research and development can be obtained through technological forecasting.
Out of many forecasting methodologies only these eight categorized by Martino(1972) are introduced here. These are mostly suitable for the case of advanced countries. For developing countries like Korea none but the Delphi method and Normative methods is suitable for direct opplication.
A decision tree model is utilized to illustrate how future materials on technological capability level obtained through technological forecasting can be applied to decision-making problems.
